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MANUFACTURING & SERVICE OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
Vol. 11, No. 2, Spring 2009, pp. 317-339
DOI: 10.1287/msom.1080.0221
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Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control of Substitute Products

Lingxiu Dong, Panos Kouvelis, Zhongjun Tian

Olin Business School, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri 63130
Olin Business School, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri 63130
School of International Business Administration, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433, China

dong{at}wustl.edu
kouvelis{at}wustl.edu
tian.zhongjun{at}mail.shufe.edu.cn

We study dynamic pricing and inventory control of substitute products for a retailer who faces a long supply lead time and a short selling season. Within a multinomial logit model of consumer choice over substitutes, we develop a stochastic dynamic programming formulation and derive the optimal dynamic pricing policy. We prove that dynamic pricing converges to static pricing as inventory levels of all variates approach the number of remaining selling periods (assuming at most one customer arrival within each period). Our extensive numerical study of the effects of time and inventory depletion on the optimal pricing reveals two fundamental underlying driving forces of the complex price behavior: the level of inventory scarcity and the quality difference among products. We also compare the performance of three restricted pricing strategies: static, unified dynamic, and mixed dynamic pricing. We find that full-scale dynamic pricing is of great value in the presence of inventory scarcity, and initial inventory decisions are quite robust in the pricing scheme employed in the selling season. Based on the above insights, we propose a computationally efficient approach to the initial inventory decision, which delivers close-to-optimal inventory levels for all testing cases.

Key Words: dynamic pricing; inventory control; substitute products; multinomial logit model
History: Received: December 12, 2007; accepted: February 20, 2008.







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