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Decision Sciences Area, INSEAD, Singapore, 138676
We study a problem of selling a fixed number of goods over a finite and known horizon. After presenting a procedure for computing optimal decision policies and some numerical results of a simple heuristic policy for the problem, we describe results from three experiments involving financially motivated subjects. The experiments reveal that decision makers employ decision policies of the same form of the optimal policy. However, they show systematic biases to demand too much when they have many units to sell and too little when they have few to sell, resulting in significant revenue losses.
Center for the Decision Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027
Department of Management and Organizations, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721
neil.bearden{at}insead.edu
rom2102{at}columbia.edu
amnon{at}u.arizona.edu
History: Received: June 2, 2006;
accepted: July 23, 2007.
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