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MANUFACTURING & SERVICE OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
Vol. 10, No. 4, Fall 2008, pp. 625-636
DOI: 10.1287/msom.1080.0229
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Right arrow Articles by Rapoport, A.

Decision Biases in Revenue Management: Some Behavioral Evidence

J. Neil Bearden, Ryan O. Murphy, Amnon Rapoport

Decision Sciences Area, INSEAD, Singapore, 138676
Center for the Decision Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027
Department of Management and Organizations, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona 85721

neil.bearden{at}insead.edu
rom2102{at}columbia.edu
amnon{at}u.arizona.edu

We study a problem of selling a fixed number of goods over a finite and known horizon. After presenting a procedure for computing optimal decision policies and some numerical results of a simple heuristic policy for the problem, we describe results from three experiments involving financially motivated subjects. The experiments reveal that decision makers employ decision policies of the same form of the optimal policy. However, they show systematic biases to demand too much when they have many units to sell and too little when they have few to sell, resulting in significant revenue losses.

Key Words: behavioral operations; revenue management; dynamic pricing; decision bias; heuristics
History: Received: June 2, 2006; accepted: July 23, 2007.




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N. Gans and R. Croson
Introduction to the Special Issue on Behavioral Operations
MSOM, September 1, 2008; 10(4): 563 - 565.
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